Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 10.612236 12.247177 13.996619 16.001797 18.230299 20.624760 23.385704
2025-05-25 8.387193 10.491526 12.884257 15.785805 19.187622 23.027732 27.667470
2025-06-01 6.904533 9.257649 12.074710 15.653645 20.034289 25.175203 31.614400
2025-06-08 5.700165 8.149123 11.221828 15.290834 20.461890 26.735395 34.834827
2025-06-15 4.959018 7.506100 10.836495 15.407071 21.402870 28.880736 38.777795
2025-06-22 4.287344 6.856996 10.351668 15.310730 22.009142 30.575526 42.168600
2025-06-29 3.824376 6.433322 10.110142 15.485419 22.934776 32.670945 46.101162
2025-07-06 3.437558 6.068420 9.903129 15.666812 23.844941 34.746740 50.045377
2025-07-13 3.181975 5.868448 9.904428 16.121341 25.126298 37.337279 54.727703
2025-07-20 2.919805 5.625037 9.812389 16.418612 26.179506 39.633443 59.063758
2025-07-27 2.618542 5.281208 9.532692 16.406823 26.770538 41.291968 62.558794
2025-08-03 2.223714 4.729998 8.877100 15.771452 26.402906 41.573110 64.133696
2025-08-10 1.953474 4.367632 8.496495 15.536943 26.616992 42.686535 66.912026
2025-08-17 1.697094 3.997137 8.067266 15.189082 26.629085 43.491821 69.257736
2025-08-24 1.498842 3.711096 7.754626 15.002968 26.869053 44.621977 72.083051
2025-08-31 1.296940 3.389356 7.348308 14.627975 26.783038 45.249886 74.177272
2025-09-07 1.183413 3.235361 7.230138 14.729696 27.453122 47.022803 77.986529
2025-09-14 1.056946 3.035461 7.007837 14.632295 27.787437 48.284157 81.055753
2025-09-21 0.974167 2.921969 6.939322 14.798845 28.556412 50.228229 85.186365
2025-09-28 0.899832 2.817663 6.878919 14.972953 29.338847 52.207633 89.408322
2025-10-05 0.858233 2.786757 6.961707 15.410997 30.579351 54.933589 94.823065
2025-10-12 0.805112 2.719768 6.964602 15.697609 31.566476 57.277742 99.695090
2025-10-19 0.730206 2.585471 6.815511 15.686168 32.032569 58.795279 103.313713